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 From : Sergey Lentsov                       2:4615/71.10   03 Jan 2002  18:20:38
 To : All
 Subject : URL: http://www.lwn.net/2002/0103/
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    Here is the [31]permanent site for this page.
    
    See also: [32]last week's LWN.
    
 Leading items and editorials
 
    UCITA is back. LWN's first report on an attempt to rework U.S.
    software licensing law appeared in [33]April, 1998. The process, then
    known as "UCC 2B," since renamed "UCITA," is currently stalled. Only
    two states have passed (modified) versions of the code, and few others
    have shown any interest at all.
    
    Recently, the law's drafting committee held a meeting to try to
    resurrect UCITA. The resulting amendments are described in [34]this
    posting from long-time UCITA critic Cem Kaner. It makes for
    interesting reading.
    
    Certain aspects of UCITA, such as the "self help" provision that would
    allow vendors to shut down software remotely, have been cleaned up.
    UCITA no longer allows vendor back doors, thus closing off one obvious
    source of problems and security holes. In theory, the provisions
    allowing vendors to forbid public criticism of their software have
    been removed. As Mr. Kaner points out, though, a huge loophole
    remains.
    
    For the free software community, however, the most interesting
    provisions are likely to be those having to do with warranties and
    liability. On the surface, the refurbished UCITA allows the disclaimer
    of warranties on free software. The situation is not as good as it
    seems, however:
      * UCITA uses a "free beer" definition of free software. Thus, for
        example, Internet Explorer is free software under this code.
      * Warranty disclaimers are not allowed when the user is a "consumer"
        (i.e. not a business).
        
    As a result, Microsoft can avoid providing any kind of warranty for
    much of its business software. On the other hand, free software
    providers can not disclaim warranties to consumer end users. This
    opens up free software developers (and those who distribute their
    code) to consumer lawsuits. Linux on the desktop will not be helped by
    this provision.
    
    So, the UCITA battle will have to be fought yet again, on a
    state-by-state basis. The alternative is the prospect of free software
    being forced off the net (or, at least, out of the U.S.) with implied
    warranties that nobody was ever paid to back up.
    
    What does 2002 hold for Linux? One of the privileges of editing a
    publication is the ability to put out annual lists of dubious
    predictions. LWN is not immune to the attraction of pretending that we
    know more than anybody else, so here goes. The following stuff might
    actually happen this year. Or it might not.
    
      * Linux systems will suffer a major security incident with
        significant costs to those affected. Names like "Code Red,"
        "Nimda," and "Sircam" inspire disdain and amusement among Linux
        users. But, while our systems are generally more secure, we do not
        have an absolute solution to security problems. Sooner or later,
        we will get bitten too.
      * We will lose a major distributor to bankruptcy, merger, or
        acquisition. Consolidation in the distributor market has been
        predicted for some time, but the distributors have proved
        remarkably resilient. There are limits to resilience, however, and
        at least one distributor is likely to find out where those limits
        are. No, we will not try to predict which one.
      * Workable free software business models will begin to emerge. The
        Bubble Days distracted Linux businesses from the vital task of
        actually making money for a while, but those days have been gone
        for a while now. With no alternative, some businesses will
        actually figure out a way to survive.
      * Desktop Linux will be taken far more seriously by the end of the
        year. Over the last year, an impressive array of desktop tools
        have reached a stable state: consider Galeon (and, of course,
        Mozilla, upon which Galeon is based), Konqueror, GnuCash,
        Nautilus, Evolution, and, of course, the KDE and GNOME desktop
        environments in general. 2002 will see the stabilization of a
        number of office productivity tools, such as KOffice, OpenOffice,
        Gnumeric, and AbiWord. At that point, the Linux desktop will have
        almost everything needed by a large number of desktop users. More
        specialized applications will take years to fill in, but the
        basics are coming into place.
      * The legal situation will get murkier. A high-level U.S. court
        ruling against the DMCA is possible; chances are good, however,
        that we will have another Dmitry Sklyarov to defend.
      * Alternative kernel trees will grow in importance. Linus Torvalds
        will continue to set the general developmental direction, but,
        increasingly, the kernels that people actually run will be
        produced by somebody else.
        
    Remember, these predictions are offered under the terms of the Free
    Forward-Looking Handwaving License (FFLHL), and NO WARRANTY of any
    type is implied regarding their veracity or whether they make sense at
    all.
    
    The LWN.net 2001 Linux Timeline, final version. We are, perhaps,
    better at looking backward. So, with pleasure, we announce that the
    final version of the [35]LWN.net 2001 Linux Timeline is now available.
    Thanks to all of you who offered comments on the previous versions.
    
    Inside this LWN.net weekly edition:
      * [36]Security: Microsoft's security bugs; exploitable mutt problem;
        glibc updates
      * [37]Kernel: 2.5.2 scheduler changes; development process issues;
        waiting for kbuild.
      * [38]Distributions: Distributions in Review - Part 2; DutNux.
      * [39]Development: KDE 3.0 beta 1, Ogg Vorbis RC3, P2P Topologies,
        Gnumeric 1.0.0, Bluefish 0.7, DotGNU yearly review, GCC 3.0.3,
        Jython 2.1, XML issues.
      * [40]Commerce: News from ActiveState; Creatures Internet Edition
        now shipping.
      * [41]History: Linux on PowerPC; mirrors for the kernel; Y2K.
      * [42]Letters: Galeon installation; SourceForge; U.K. and open
        source.
        
    ...plus the usual array of reports, updates, and announcements.
    
    This Week's LWN was brought to you by:
      * [43]Jonathan Corbet, Executive Editor
        
    January 3, 2002
    
                               [44]Click Here 
    
                               [45]Click Here 
    
    
                                                        [46]Next: Security
    
    [47]Eklektix, Inc. Linux powered! Copyright Л 2002 [48]Eklektix, Inc.,
    all rights reserved
    Linux (R) is a registered trademark of Linus Torvalds
 
 References
 
    1. http://lwn.net/
    2. http://ads.tucows.com/click.ng/pageid=001-012-132-000-000-001-000-000-012
    3. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/security.php3
    4. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/kernel.php3
    5. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/dists.php3
    6. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/devel.php3
    7. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/commerce.php3
    8. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/press.php3
    9. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/announce.php3
   10. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/history.php3
   11. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/letters.php3
   12. http://lwn.net//2002/0103/bigpage.php3
   13. http://lwn.net/daily/
   14. http://linuxcalendar.com/
   15. http://lwn.net/stocks/
   16. http://lwn.net/Reviews/
   17. http://lwn.net/Gallery/
   18. http://lwn.net/archives/
   19. http://lwn.net/op/headlines.phtml
   20. http://lwn.net/op/Contact.html
   21. http://linux.tucows.com/
   22. http://news.tucows.com/ext2/
   23. http://unixthemes.tucows.com/
   24. http://lwn.net/2001/features/Timeline/
   25. http://lwn.net/2001/features/oreilly2001/
   26. http://lwn.net/2001/features/OLS/
   27. http://lwn.net/2001/features/MandrakeSoft.php3
   28. http://lwn.net/2001/features/KernelSummit/
   29. http://lwn.net/2001/features/Singapore
   30. http://lwn.net/2001/features/djbdns.php3
   31. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/
   32. http://lwn.net/2001/1220/
   33. http://lwn.net/1998/0430
   34.
 http://www.interesting-people.org/archives/interesting-people/200112/msg00255.ht
 ml
   35. http://lwn.net/2001/features/Timeline/
   36. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/security.php3
   37. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/kernel.php3
   38. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/dists.php3
   39. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/devel.php3
   40. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/commerce.php3
   41. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/history.php3
   42. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/letters.php3
   43. mailto:lwn@lwn.net
   44. http://ads.tucows.com/click.ng/buttonpos=lwnbutton125top
   45. http://ads.tucows.com/click.ng/buttonpos=125-001-016
   46. http://lwn.net/2002/0103/security.php3
   47. http://www.eklektix.com/
   48. http://www.eklektix.com/
 
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